FloodPredictor by Practical Predictions

Our Accountability Commitment

Flood Predictor publishes every prediction it makes and logs every warning it issues. We do this for two reasons.

First, to learn. Every prediction is a testable hypothesis. When we get it wrong we want to know, so we can get better. Our model improves every time a flood happens that we predicted — or failed to predict.

Second, to hold power to account. When flood risk exceeds our warning threshold, we notify the relevant TD and local councillor by email, automatically. This is logged here publicly. If a community floods and the warning was sent, that is on the record. If the warning was not acted on, that is also on the record.

We believe that access to predictive information should not be limited to those who can afford it, and that public representatives should be held to the same standard of awareness as any citizen with a smartphone.

Prediction Log

Every flood risk prediction made by the platform, by day. Showing predictions where flood probability exceeded 25% (Watch level or above).

Last 7 days Last 30 days All time 153 records
Date / Time Station River County Risk Level Prob % Ground Conditions Coastal Outcome
05 Mar 26 23:52 Port Oriel — — Watch 45% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
06 Mar 26 23:52 Port Oriel — — Watch 42% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
07 Mar 26 02:37 Port Oriel — — Watch 42% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
05 Mar 26 23:52 Dundalk Port — — Watch 45% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
06 Mar 26 23:52 Dundalk Port — — Warning 51% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
07 Mar 26 02:37 Dundalk Port — — Watch 47% Ground significantly saturated, limited — Pending
05 Mar 26 23:52 Carlingford Carlingford Louth Watch 45% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
06 Mar 26 23:52 Carlingford Carlingford Louth Severe 76% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
07 Mar 26 02:22 Carlingford Carlingford Louth Watch 49% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
05 Mar 26 20:07 Tipper Morell Kildare Watch 39% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
05 Mar 26 22:52 Killashee — — Watch 39% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
05 Mar 26 22:22 Arklow Harbour Avoca Wicklow Watch 40% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
06 Mar 26 10:37 Arklow Harbour Avoca Wicklow Watch 39% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
05 Mar 26 23:52 Ravenswell Road Dargle Wicklow Watch 44% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
06 Mar 26 23:52 Ravenswell Road Dargle Wicklow Watch 42% Ground significantly saturated, limited 🌊 Pending
05 Mar 26 22:07 St. Johns Bridge Urrin Wexford Watch 42% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
06 Mar 26 10:22 St. Johns Bridge Urrin Wexford Watch 40% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
05 Mar 26 22:07 Rafter Bridge D/S Slaney Wexford Watch 41% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
05 Mar 26 22:07 Rafter Bridge U/S Slaney Wexford Watch 42% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
05 Mar 26 22:22 Edermine Bridge Slaney Wexford Watch 40% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
06 Mar 26 20:52 Edermine Bridge Slaney Wexford Watch 42% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
05 Mar 26 21:07 Assaly Assaly1 Wexford Warning 50% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
06 Mar 26 09:52 Assaly Assaly1 Wexford Watch 41% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
05 Mar 26 21:07 Ferrycarrig Bridge Slaney Wexford Warning 60% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
06 Mar 26 20:52 Ferrycarrig Bridge Slaney Wexford Watch 42% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
05 Mar 26 21:07 Annamult Nore Kilkenny Watch 40% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
05 Mar 26 21:07 Kilbricken Nore Laois Watch 39% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
05 Mar 26 22:52 Mount Juliet Nore Kilkenny Watch 41% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
05 Mar 26 21:37 Carrick On Suir Suir Tipperary Warning 52% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
06 Mar 26 22:07 Carrick On Suir Suir Tipperary Watch 39% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi 🌊 Pending
05 Mar 26 21:07 Piltown Pil 16 Kilkenny Watch 49% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
05 Mar 26 20:52 Adelphi Quay Suir Waterford Warning 69% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
06 Mar 26 21:22 Adelphi Quay Suir Waterford Watch 43% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi 🌊 Pending
07 Mar 26 05:07 Adelphi Quay Suir Waterford Watch 44% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi 🌊 Pending
05 Mar 26 19:52 Dunmore East Knockacurrin Waterford Watch 44% Ground is dry, high absorption capacity — Pending
06 Mar 26 07:37 Dunmore East Knockacurrin Waterford Watch 39% Ground is dry, high absorption capacity — Pending
05 Mar 26 20:07 Youghal Quay — — Warning 52% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
06 Mar 26 20:37 Youghal Quay — — Watch 46% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
07 Mar 26 04:37 Youghal Quay — — Watch 41% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi 🌊 Pending
05 Mar 26 19:52 Ballycotton — — Warning 60% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
06 Mar 26 20:22 Ballycotton — — Watch 48% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
07 Mar 26 04:37 Ballycotton — — Watch 40% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi 🌊 Pending
05 Mar 26 19:52 Ringaskiddy NMCI — — Warning 60% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
06 Mar 26 20:22 Ringaskiddy NMCI — — Warning 51% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
07 Mar 26 04:37 Ringaskiddy NMCI — — Watch 42% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi 🌊 Pending
06 Mar 26 11:37 Inniscarra Tailrace Bride (Lee) Cork Watch 43% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
05 Mar 26 20:07 Currach Club Glen (Cork City) Cork Watch 44% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
06 Mar 26 20:22 Currach Club Glen (Cork City) Cork Watch 48% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending
07 Mar 26 04:52 Currach Club Glen (Cork City) Cork Watch 41% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi 🌊 Pending
05 Mar 26 20:07 St Patrick’s Quay (East) Kiln Cork Watch 49% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi — Pending

Official Notifications

Every email sent to a public representative when flood risk exceeded our warning threshold.

Date / Time Station / Area Representative Risk Level Probability Outcome
Official notifications will appear here as warnings are issued. System operational and monitoring.

How Accurate Are We?

0
Predictions Issued
0
Confirmed Floods
0
False Alarms
0
Pending
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Accuracy Rate

Accuracy improves over time as outcomes are confirmed. Pending predictions are those where the risk window has not yet closed. Accuracy rate = confirmed floods ÷ (confirmed + false alarms) × 100.