FloodPredictor by Practical Predictions

Accountability — The Public Record

This page is a permanent, public record of every flood prediction we have made, every warning we have issued, and every public representative we have notified.

When flood risk at a gauge exceeds our warning threshold, we automatically email the relevant TD, local councillor, and emergency contacts by name. Their names and roles are logged below alongside the time the warning was sent. Politicians and officials cannot claim they were not warned.

Every prediction is a testable hypothesis. When we get it right, it is on the record. When we get it wrong, that is also on the record — and we use it to improve the model. You can see our running accuracy rate at the bottom of this page.

Flood warnings in Ireland disproportionately affect ordinary people. The goal of this page is simple: make the information public, name the people responsible for acting on it, and let the record speak for itself.

Prediction Log

Every flood risk prediction made by the platform, by day. Showing predictions where flood probability exceeded 25% (Watch level or above).

Last 7 days Last 30 days All time 274 records
Date / Time Station River County Risk Level Prob % Ground Conditions Coastal Outcome
08 Mar 26 21:07 Rossaveel Pier Carrowroe_South Galway Watch 41% Ground moderately saturated, reduced abs 🌊 Pending
09 Mar 26 16:37 Rossaveel Pier Carrowroe_South Galway Watch 44% Ground moderately saturated, reduced abs 🌊 Pending
05 Mar 26 19:37 Spiddal Owenboliska Galway Warning 52% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run — Pending
06 Mar 26 20:07 Spiddal Owenboliska Galway Warning 50% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run — Pending
07 Mar 26 20:37 Spiddal Owenboliska Galway Watch 45% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run 🌊 Pending
08 Mar 26 20:52 Spiddal Owenboliska Galway Watch 45% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run 🌊 Pending
09 Mar 26 18:07 Spiddal Owenboliska Galway Watch 46% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run 🌊 Pending
06 Mar 26 11:22 Shannagurraun — — Watch 43% Ground moderately saturated, reduced abs — Pending
07 Mar 26 08:52 Shannagurraun — — Watch 47% Ground moderately saturated, reduced abs 🌊 Pending
05 Mar 26 19:52 Enniscrone Pier Bellawaddy Sligo Warning 53% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run — Pending
06 Mar 26 20:37 Enniscrone Pier Bellawaddy Sligo Watch 44% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run — Pending
07 Mar 26 20:37 Enniscrone Pier Bellawaddy Sligo Watch 42% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi 🌊 Pending
08 Mar 26 21:22 Enniscrone Pier Bellawaddy Sligo Watch 40% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi 🌊 Pending
09 Mar 26 17:22 Enniscrone Pier Bellawaddy Sligo Watch 46% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi 🌊 Pending
05 Mar 26 19:52 Ballina Moy Mayo Watch 41% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run — Pending
06 Mar 26 19:37 Ballina Moy Mayo Watch 43% Ground fully saturated, all rainfall run — Pending
07 Mar 26 07:52 Ballina Moy Mayo Watch 39% Ground near saturation, most rainfall wi 🌊 Pending
06 Mar 26 19:07 Port Bridge Swilly Donegal Watch 49% Ground moderately saturated, reduced abs — Pending
07 Mar 26 19:37 Port Bridge Swilly Donegal Watch 49% Ground moderately saturated, reduced abs — Pending
08 Mar 26 06:52 Port Bridge Swilly Donegal Watch 39% Ground moderately saturated, reduced abs — Pending
05 Mar 26 20:22 Malin Head Ballygorman Donegal Watch 44% Ground moderately saturated, reduced abs — Pending
06 Mar 26 20:52 Malin Head Ballygorman Donegal Watch 42% Ground moderately saturated, reduced abs — Pending
07 Mar 26 21:22 Malin Head Ballygorman Donegal Watch 39% Ground moderately saturated, reduced abs 🌊 Pending
08 Mar 26 17:22 Malin Head Ballygorman Donegal Watch 41% Ground moderately saturated, reduced abs 🌊 Pending

Official Notifications

Every email sent to a public representative when flood risk exceeded our warning threshold.

Date / Time Station / Area Representative Risk Level Probability Outcome
Official notifications will appear here as warnings are issued. System operational and monitoring.

How Accurate Are We?

0
Predictions Issued
0
Confirmed Floods
0
False Alarms
0
Pending
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Accuracy Rate

Accuracy improves over time as outcomes are confirmed. Pending predictions are those where the risk window has not yet closed. Accuracy rate = confirmed floods ÷ (confirmed + false alarms) × 100.